Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.017174 0.018900 0.020641 0.022524 0.024500 0.026508 0.028699
2025-07-13 0.014352 0.016984 0.019740 0.022825 0.026162 0.029648 0.033550
2025-07-20 0.012321 0.015449 0.018822 0.022691 0.026970 0.031525 0.036708
2025-07-27 0.010746 0.014207 0.018038 0.022528 0.027583 0.033047 0.039347
2025-08-03 0.009925 0.013716 0.018003 0.023113 0.028948 0.035326 0.042752
2025-08-10 0.008793 0.012759 0.017349 0.022917 0.029366 0.036497 0.044879
2025-08-17 0.007777 0.011857 0.016688 0.022650 0.029649 0.037470 0.046743
2025-08-24 0.006964 0.011141 0.016196 0.022534 0.030065 0.038560 0.048708
2025-08-31 0.006192 0.010417 0.015648 0.022310 0.030320 0.039437 0.050406
2025-09-07 0.005568 0.009840 0.015244 0.022227 0.030715 0.040453 0.052244
2025-09-14 0.004860 0.009096 0.014588 0.021801 0.030671 0.040936 0.053449
2025-09-21 0.004220 0.008396 0.013949 0.021363 0.030586 0.041347 0.054552
2025-09-28 0.003409 0.007414 0.012937 0.020475 0.029996 0.041227 0.055123
2025-10-05 0.003084 0.007133 0.012853 0.020773 0.030873 0.042867 0.057783
2025-10-12 0.002659 0.006651 0.012461 0.020646 0.031202 0.043837 0.059640
2025-10-19 0.002273 0.006188 0.012067 0.020491 0.031477 0.044727 0.061391
2025-10-26 0.002125 0.006109 0.012210 0.021046 0.032645 0.046697 0.064428
2025-11-02 0.001800 0.005679 0.011818 0.020860 0.032856 0.047490 0.066051
2025-11-09 0.001496 0.005245 0.011392 0.020607 0.032965 0.048146 0.067500
2025-11-16 0.001259 0.004903 0.011082 0.020497 0.033245 0.049005 0.069186
2025-11-23 0.001030 0.004537 0.010712 0.020284 0.033379 0.049673 0.070633
2025-11-30 0.000854 0.004249 0.010446 0.020206 0.033679 0.050540 0.072317
2025-12-07 0.000651 0.003847 0.009967 0.019802 0.033533 0.050838 0.073299